/NORTH_WEST
1954 NORTH_WEST Senate Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results1.21M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Garba ColeNPP Northern People's Congress | 478.6k | 39.4% |
 Action Group | 368.4k | 30.3% |
 National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 367.2k | 30.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
NORTH_WESTWhy NORTH_WEST voters lean toward Iyabo Fadahunsi over Chika Okonkwo. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Chika Okonkwo's vote can be persuaded across to Iyabo Fadahunsi, and 20.0% of Iyabo Fadahunsi's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Garba ColeChika OkonkwoIyabo Fadahunsi