/NORTH_WEST
1958 NORTH_WEST Senate Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results1.24M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Garba ColeNPP Northern People's Congress | 573.7k | 46.1% |
 Action Group | 418.0k | 33.6% |
 National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 252.6k | 20.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
NORTH_WESTWhy NORTH_WEST voters lean toward Chika Okonkwo over Garba Cole. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Garba Cole's vote can be persuaded across to Chika Okonkwo, and 20.0% of Chika Okonkwo's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Garba ColeChika OkonkwoIyabo Fadahunsi