/SE_STH
PreviousNext
1953 SE_STH riksdag
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results713.8k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Bondeförbundet | 179.4k | 25.1% |
 Marcus HolmNPP Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 162.7k | 22.8% |
 Folkpartiet | 132.7k | 18.6% |
 Högerpartiet | 121.0k | 17.0% |
 Bo IsakssonNPP Sveriges Kommunistiska Parti | 117.9k | 16.5% |
Persuasion Drivers
SE_STHWhy SE_STH voters lean toward Tommy Persson over Matilda Holmberg. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Matilda Holmberg's vote can be persuaded across to Tommy Persson, and 20.0% of Tommy Persson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Tommy PerssonMarcus HolmMatilda HolmbergSolveig JanssonBo Isaksson