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1960 SE_STH riksdag
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally61.6k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Folkpartiet | 15.0k | 24.3% |
 Bondeförbundet | 14.9k | 24.2% |
 Marcus HolmNPP Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 14.9k | 24.2% |
 Bo IsakssonNPP Sveriges Kommunistiska Parti | 9.4k | 15.3% |
 Högerpartiet | 7.4k | 12.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
SE_STHWhy SE_STH voters lean toward Tommy Persson over Marcus Holm. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Marcus Holm's vote can be persuaded across to Tommy Persson, and 20.0% of Tommy Persson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Matilda HolmbergTommy PerssonMarcus HolmBo IsakssonSolveig Jansson