/SE_VML
PreviousNext
1960 SE_VML riksdag
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally34.7k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Bondeförbundet | 9.4k | 27.2% |
 Folkpartiet | 7.3k | 21.0% |
 Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 6.7k | 19.4% |
 Högerpartiet | 5.7k | 16.4% |
 Sveriges Kommunistiska Parti | 5.6k | 16.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
SE_VMLWhy SE_VML voters lean toward Thomas Olsson over Linda Svensson. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Linda Svensson's vote can be persuaded across to Thomas Olsson, and 20.0% of Thomas Olsson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Thomas OlssonLinda SvenssonTommy BergmanPer BengtssonTommy Lindberg