/Louisiana
1954 Louisiana House Race · 8 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Gavin Duffy won 6 of 8 seats
Gavin Duffy6 seats
Laura Wells2 seats
Final Results944.3k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 729.3k | 77.2% | 6 | |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 214.9k | 22.8% | 2 |
Persuasion Drivers
LAWhy Louisiana voters lean toward Laura Wells over Gavin Duffy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Gavin Duffy's vote can be persuaded across to Laura Wells, and 20.0% of Laura Wells's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Gavin DuffyLaura Wells