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1953 New York House Race · 43 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Sean Oppenheimer won 14 of 43 seats
Sean Oppenheimer14 seats
Tamaki Suoh14 seats
Kimberly Lee8 seats
Donald Banks7 seats
Final Results6.24M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.07M | 33.2% | 14 | |
| 1.93M | 30.9% | 14 | |
 Democratic Party | 1.19M | 19.1% | 8 |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 1.05M | 16.8% | 7 |
Persuasion Drivers
NYWhy New York voters lean toward Kimberly Lee over Donald Banks. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Donald Banks's vote can be persuaded across to Kimberly Lee, and 20.0% of Kimberly Lee's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Sean OppenheimerTamaki SuohKimberly LeeDonald Banks