Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02M | 32.8% | 8 | |
| 939.2k | 30.3% | 7 | |
Farmer-Labor Party | 683.2k | 22.0% | 5 |
Democratic Party | 463.3k | 14.9% | 3 |
Why Ohio voters lean toward Rebecca Weiss over Linda Brennan. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Linda Brennan's vote can be persuaded across to Rebecca Weiss, and 20.0% of Rebecca Weiss's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.