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1953 Presidential Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Race Tier
State drivers
closest races
Registration Influence
WYPartisan-lean baseline for WY. Each party's share is the slow-moving registered-voter influence, not a vote-share guarantee. Voters still need persuasion to turn out and vote with their lean.
FLP54.6% lean13.6% movable
DEM45.4% lean15.2% movable
The movable figure is the share of each party's own vote that campaigning can shift in one cycle. A large lean means a large starting base and a small movable slice.
Persuasion Drivers
WYWhy WY voters lean toward Lukas Hochburger over Tom Sinclair. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Tom Sinclair's vote can be persuaded across to Lukas Hochburger, and 20.0% of Lukas Hochburger's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.
★
Lukas Hochburger Wins the Presidency
498 Electoral Votes · 59.8% Popular Vote
Democratic Party· Running Mate: Selina Meyer
Electoral College
530 votes · 266 to win498
270
Lukas Hochburger498★
Tom Sinclair33
Final Results145.36M votes · 25 turns
| # | Candidate | Running Mate | EV | Vote % | Votes | Fav | NPI | Cash | CS | Endorsements |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lukas Hochburger Democratic PartyWinner | Selina Meyer | 498 | 59.8% | 86.88M | 69% | 1.3K | — | — | 15 |
| 2 |  Tom Sinclair Farmer-Labor Party | Marilyn Sinclair | 33 | 40.2% | 58.48M | 74% | 823 | — | — | 11 |
Endorsements
Lukas Hochburger· 15 player
Lyndon B. JohnsonplayerLee RadziwillplayerJames Estes KefauverplayerSelina MeyerplayerSean OppenheimerplayerGerald BushplayerMayano Top GunplayerMelania TrumpplayerMartin Luther King JrplayerRgoldplayerSaucy SantanaplayerAustin PowersplayerMarie AntoinetteplayerCharles LeclercplayerMarine Dafeurplayer
Tom Sinclair· 11 player
Flowery DreemurrplayerLow Thia KhiangplayerHoward HughesplayerJoseph McCarthyplayerKarl KautskyplayerAquaplayerCowboy ObamaplayerMarilyn SinclairplayerEmolgaplayerDeprinceplayerTamaki Suohplayer
Election Trends
Lukas HochburgerTom Sinclair
Electoral Votes
498
Popular Vote
59.8%
States Won
41
Total Votes
86.88M
Favorability
69%
Electoral Votes
33
Popular Vote
40.2%
States Won
7
Total Votes
58.48M
Favorability
74%
Key Insights
Closest States
Wyoming(3 EV)
+0.3%Idaho(4 EV)
+0.6%New Hampshire(4 EV)
+0.9%South Dakota(4 EV)
+4.1%Nebraska(5 EV)
+6.1%Biggest Landslides
Alabama(10 EV)
+50.3%South Carolina(8 EV)
+37.1%Mississippi(8 EV)
+36.2%North Carolina(14 EV)
+36.0%Georgia(12 EV)
+35.6%Popular Vote Margin
28.39M votes (19.53%)
Regional Performance
Northeast
Lukas Hochburger10 states · 133 EV
Tom Sinclair1 states · 3 EV
South
Lukas Hochburger12 states · 121 EV
Midwest
Lukas Hochburger8 states · 133 EV
Tom Sinclair4 states · 20 EV
West
Lukas Hochburger11 states · 112 EV
Tom Sinclair2 states · 8 EV
State-by-State Results
All 50 states + DC · Click column headers to sort
State | EV↓ | Winner | Margin | Vote Share | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York(NY) | 42 | Lukas Hochburger | +21.8% | 60.9% | 14.92M |
California(CA) | 35 | Lukas Hochburger | +10.0% | 55.0% | 10.57M |
Pennsylvania(PA) | 29 | Lukas Hochburger | +15.5% | 57.7% | 10.41M |
Texas(TX) | 28 | Lukas Hochburger | +25.7% | 62.8% | 7.47M |
Illinois(IL) | 27 | Lukas Hochburger | +27.1% | 63.5% | 8.72M |
Ohio(OH) | 26 | Lukas Hochburger | +10.7% | 55.3% | 8.08M |
Michigan(MI) | 23 | Lukas Hochburger | +19.4% | 59.7% | 6.43M |
New Jersey(NJ) | 16 | Lukas Hochburger | +17.7% | 58.9% | 4.85M |
Indiana(IN) | 14 | Lukas Hochburger | +7.6% | 53.8% | 3.97M |
Massachusetts(MA) | 14 | Lukas Hochburger | +26.1% | 63.1% | 4.73M |
North Carolina(NC) | 14 | Lukas Hochburger | +36.0% | 68.0% | 3.55M |
Virginia(VA) | 13 | Lukas Hochburger | +24.7% | 62.4% | 3.20M |
Georgia(GA) | 12 | Lukas Hochburger | +35.6% | 67.8% | 2.92M |
Missouri(MO) | 12 | Lukas Hochburger | +19.1% | 59.6% | 3.59M |
Tennessee(TN) | 12 | Lukas Hochburger | +22.6% | 61.3% | 2.95M |
Wisconsin(WI) | 12 | Lukas Hochburger | +9.6% | 54.8% | 3.47M |
Alabama(AL) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +50.3% | 75.2% | 2.73M |
Florida(FL) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +23.6% | 61.8% | 2.66M |
Kentucky(KY) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +24.9% | 62.4% | 2.63M |
Louisiana(LA) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +31.4% | 65.7% | 2.35M |
Minnesota(MN) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +23.5% | 61.8% | 2.98M |
Washington(WA) | 10 | Lukas Hochburger | +21.1% | 60.6% | 2.40M |
Iowa(IA) | 9 | Lukas Hochburger | +13.1% | 56.5% | 2.60M |
Maryland(MD) | 9 | Lukas Hochburger | +12.2% | 56.1% | 2.40M |
Connecticut(CT) | 8 | Lukas Hochburger | +23.7% | 61.9% | 2.04M |
Mississippi(MS) | 8 | Lukas Hochburger | +36.2% | 68.1% | 1.78M |
Oklahoma(OK) | 8 | Lukas Hochburger | +25.4% | 62.7% | 2.14M |
South Carolina(SC) | 8 | Lukas Hochburger | +37.1% | 68.6% | 1.77M |
Arkansas(AR) | 7 | Lukas Hochburger | +33.0% | 66.5% | 1.61M |
Kansas(KS) | 7 | Tom Sinclair | +10.0% | 55.0% | 1.87M |
West Virginia(WV) | 7 | Lukas Hochburger | +25.0% | 62.5% | 1.90M |
Colorado(CO) | 6 | Lukas Hochburger | +6.8% | 53.4% | 1.33M |
Oregon(OR) | 6 | Lukas Hochburger | +6.4% | 53.2% | 1.49M |
Arizona(AZ) | 5 | Lukas Hochburger | +8.8% | 54.4% | 734.6k |
Nebraska(NE) | 5 | Tom Sinclair | +6.1% | 53.0% | 1.21M |
Idaho(ID) | 4 | Tom Sinclair | +0.6% | 50.3% | 539.4k |
Maine(ME) | 4 | Lukas Hochburger | +9.3% | 54.6% | 880.5k |
Montana(MT) | 4 | Lukas Hochburger | +9.0% | 54.5% | 570.4k |
New Hampshire(NH) | 4 | Lukas Hochburger | +0.9% | 50.4% | 534.2k |
New Mexico(NM) | 4 | Lukas Hochburger | +16.8% | 58.4% | 637.3k |
North Dakota(ND) | 4 | Tom Sinclair | +10.3% | 55.1% | 559.8k |
Rhode Island(RI) | 4 | Lukas Hochburger | +27.0% | 63.5% | 781.6k |
South Dakota(SD) | 4 | Tom Sinclair | +4.1% | 52.1% | 597.3k |
Utah(UT) | 4 | Tom Sinclair | +10.6% | 55.3% | 643.4k |
Delaware(DE) | 3 | Lukas Hochburger | +13.6% | 56.8% | 320.2k |
Nevada(NV) | 3 | Lukas Hochburger | +7.9% | 53.9% | 159.1k |
Vermont(VT) | 3 | Tom Sinclair | +10.7% | 55.4% | 370.3k |
Wyoming(WY) | 3 | Lukas Hochburger | +0.3% | 50.2% | 293.5k |
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