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1953 Oregon State Senate Race · 30 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Robert Tran won 19 of 30 seats
Robert Tran19 seats
Nancy Powell11 seats
Final Results582.3k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 369.8k | 63.5% | 19 |
 Democratic Party | 212.5k | 36.5% | 11 |
Persuasion Drivers
ORWhy Oregon voters lean toward Nancy Powell over Robert Tran. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Robert Tran's vote can be persuaded across to Nancy Powell, and 20.0% of Nancy Powell's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Robert TranNancy Powell