/Oregon
1954 Oregon State Senate Race · 30 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Nancy Powell won 16 of 30 seats
Nancy Powell16 seats
Robert Tran14 seats
Final Results607.8k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Democratic Party | 332.3k | 54.7% | 16 |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 275.5k | 45.3% | 14 |
Persuasion Drivers
ORWhy Oregon voters lean toward Robert Tran over Nancy Powell. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Nancy Powell's vote can be persuaded across to Robert Tran, and 20.0% of Robert Tran's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Nancy PowellRobert Tran