/KIL
1955 KIL Local Council Race · 26 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results78.3k votes cast · 24 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mary CoyleNPP Fine Gael | 26.3k | 33.5% |
 Oisin CroninNPP Labour | 24.2k | 30.9% |
 Fianna Fáil | 14.3k | 18.3% |
 Eilis DoyleNPP Fianna Fáil | 13.5k | 17.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward Aoife Higgins over Mary Coyle. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.9 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Mary Coyle's vote can be persuaded across to Aoife Higgins, and 20.0% of Aoife Higgins's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.9 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Mary CoyleOisin CroninAoife HigginsEilis Doyle